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Economics

Here’s Where the Commodities Meltdown Will Hurt the Most

July 28, 2015

STEVE MATTHEWS, BLOOMBERG NEWS The Bloomberg Commodity Index is trading at a 13-year low and has plunged 61 percent since its peak in 2008, as of yesterday. That matters in states like Wyoming, Louisiana, Texas and Nebraska. The map below shows the 10 states with the greatest exposure as measured

Aging U.S. Population May Curb Retail Spending

July 21, 2015

An aging U.S. population may result in reduced demand for retail goods as seniors shift spending from shopping to leisure activities and health care. The number of people in the U.S. aged 65 to 74 will increase rapidly during the next decade. By the end of 2050, this demographic is

Falling Global Food Prices No Help to U.S. Consumers

July 17, 2015

As world food prices reach an almost six-year low, don’t expect American consumers to reap the benefits at restaurants or grocery stores anytime soon. Costs for meat, dairy, cereals, oils and sugar fell a combined 0.9 percent in June from the previous month, reaching the lowest level since September 2009

Yield Curve Shows Greece, China Wreaking Havoc on U.S.

July 9, 2015

The gap between yields for Treasuries maturing in two- and 30-years has fallen to 2.40 percentage points, down from 2.56 percentage points on July 2, the widest since November. A wider yield curve typically signals faster growth and investors seeking compensation for the risk of added inflation. Investors seeking safety

Which Central Banks Have Been Getting it Right?

July 8, 2015

The Federal Reserve is the most optimistic. The Bank of Japan made the biggest mistake. The Bank of Canada is the most accurate, but it’s got the easiest job. These are just a few of the findings of Bloomberg’s first-ever ranking of Group of Seven central banks according to their

One 2015 Rate Hike or Two? LMCI Gives Fed Elbow Room to Steer

July 7, 2015

By JOSH WRIGHT AND CARL RICCADONNA, BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE ECONOMISTS June’s Labor Marker Conditions Index shows further labor market improvement, fulfilling one precondition by policy makers for an initial rate increase. The key question before the FOMC appears to be whether to raise rates twice or just once in 2015. If the

ISM Shows U.S. Manufacturing Clawing Its Way Back

July 2, 2015

CARL RICCADONNA AND JOSH WRIGHT, BLOOMBERG ECONOMISTS The June manufacturing ISM headline modestly topped estimates, a further sign of economic recovery from a first quarter soft patch. Even so, the index is running cool relative to recent history, a reminder of factory sector headwinds like energy sector retrenchment and heightened

Traveling to the West Coast? Bring Your Checkbook

June 30, 2015

San Francisco led all cities in the Bloomberg World Hotel Index in both the average cost for a night’s stay and the change in price from a year earlier. Visitors to the Bay Area city will have to fork over some $397 per night for the chance to stroll around

Brief Bites-6/26

June 26, 2015

Editor Taylor Riggs highlights the week’s top Bloomberg Brief stories.

Economy Shines Bright Deep in the Heart of Texas

June 26, 2015

RICHARD YAMARONE, BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE ECONOMIST Texas gross state product was $1.648 trillion in 2014, data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis show. That’s larger than Australia, South Korea and Spain, according to International Monetary Fund figures. For this reason alone, the goings-on in the Lone Star State should be considered